from the editor
No Suprises
STORM& SECURITY
P
There was a slight change
(22 percent probability according to the
Weather Research Center) the 2013 Atlantic hurricane season would get off to
an early start with a cyclone developing in May. There's a much better probability
(55 percent), WRC says, of a storm as late as November this year—and with the
aftermath of Sandy still a big part of the everyday lives of millions of Americans in
the Northeast, most people are likely to believe that.
Early or late, long or short, every hurricane forecast this year calls for an
active 2013 season: from six to 11 hurricanes and as many as six major hurricanes
(see the forecast roundup beginning on page 10). Just as this issue was going to
press, the Colorado State University forecast team updated its earlier forecast still
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FORECAST 2013
Vol. IV No. 2
Web site:
stormsecuritymag.com
Publisher
National Sales:
Kerri Caldwell
(773) 775-9293
kcaldwell@kasnicmedia.com
expecting nine hurricanes and a 72 percent chance that at least one major hurricane
will make landfall along the U.S. coastline. Each of these numbers is above the
50-year average.
Pre-season forecasts serve as an early warning to us all. Experts have
Editorial Director
Howard Shingle
hshingle@kasnicmedia.com
been researching storm development for long enough now to have honed their
0forecast accuracy to remarkable precision. When they say, as they are saying this
year, to expect an active season, then we had better expect an active storm season.
The biggest concern for most people, of course, is for a hurricane making
Office Manager
Jenny Rieman
jrieman@kasnicmedia.com
landfall. Taking a direct hit is actually rather rare. AccuWeather.com points out that
Florida hasn't taken the brunt of a hurricane since 2005. But that's no reason to shrug
off the forecasts. Just ask the residents of New Jersey who hadn't seen a hurricane in
years … until Sandy. Sandy also reminded us that a storm doesn't have to be major
to be deadly and highly destructive and that coastal residents are not the only ones
who need to be prepared.
The next time a storm hit we will not be able say, "We didn't know … ", or
"We didn't expect this …".
Design & Production:
Lynda Cassidy
(480) 276-3991
lcassidy@kasnicmedia.com
Editorial Contributors:
Don Leggett
George Rosado
REMINDER: For all persons and companies involved in hurricane preparation and mitigation, StormEXPO 2013 is scheduled for September 26 and 27 in Fort
Lauderdale, FL (see page 13). Scheduled are seminars on changes to building
codes; mitigation opportunities for contractors, manufacturers and suppliers; and
health care survival for businesses and more. Online registration is available at
www.stormsecuritymag.com and a special room rate is offered by the B Ocean Hotel.
KasNic Media, LLC
6430 North Central Avenue
Suite 206
Chicago, Illinois 60646
(773) 775-9293
See you there!
Howard Shingle
Editorial Director
Kerri Caldwell
Publisher
Storm & Security Protection
4
kasnicmedia, LLC
STORM & SECuRITY PROTECTION / FORECAST 2013
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