Storm & Security

fromthethe editor the editor from editor from No Good Are WhatSuprises Forecasts? No in December hurricane-force wind gusts battered Great Britain. The Suprises Early Associated Press reported tens of thousands of homes were without electricity and 10,000 homes were evacuated along the eastern English coast after There was a slight change (22 surge in 60 years and gusts up forecasts warned of the country's worst tidal percent probability according to the toWeather Researchonto thethe 2013 Atlantic hurricane season would get off to 142 mph swept Center) Scottish coast. There was a slight change (22 percent probability according to the an early start with a cyclone 2013 Atlantic May. Thereʼs a much better off to Weather Research Center) the developing in hurricane season would get probability (55 percent),earlier, says, of a storm as devastated the Philippines killing the A month WRC Hurricane Haiyan an early start with a cyclone developing inlate as November this better probability May. Thereʼs a much year—and with thousands and destroyingbig part ofeverything onlives islands (see page 22). in aftermath of Sandy stillof a storm as the everyday the this year—and with the a virtually late as November of millions of Americans (55 percent), WRC says, The storm Sandy winds well above to believe 5 classification used for Atlantic the Northeast, most a big part likely everyday that. aftermath ofpacked stillpeople are of theCategory lives of millions of Americans in hurricanes. most late, long orlikely to believe that. forecast this year calls for an Early the Northeast, or people are short, every hurricane 2013 or late, from six to 11 hurricanes and as many as year calls for active Early season:long or short, every season was so much the major hurricanes Here at home, the 2013 hurricane hurricane forecast this six opposite.an (see the season: from six by extension, and as many this issue was going to active 2013forecast roundup beginning on page 10). Just asas six major hurricanes Hurricane forecasters—andto 11 hurricanesthe storm protection industry—took press, chin this season. University page storm updated its earlier going to (see the forecast roundup beginning onforecast team forecasts saw was forecast still it on thethe Colorado State The early season10). Just as this issue potential for expecting nine hurricanes and a called for chance that at least one major still "extreme activity" this year, and 72 percent six to nine hurricanes forecasthurricane press, the Colorado State University forecast team updated its earlier with a 72 percent chance of along the U.S. coastline. Each of We reported those forecasts will make landfall a landfall a 72 percent chance that at numbers is above the expecting nine hurricanes and along the U.S. coast. theseleast one major hurricane right hereaverage. 50-year in our pages. As it coastline. Each of 2013 ended is above the will make landfall along the U.S.turns out, though,these numbersas one of the quietest seasons Pre-season forecasts serve as an early warning Atlantic season since 50-year average. recorded—in fact, the sixth least-activeto us all. Experts have 1950, according tostorm development for long enough now tostorms (above NOAA. The season brought 13 named have honed their been researching forecasts serve as an early warning to us all. Experts have Pre-season average activity!), ofto remarkable precision. When they say,Category 1 cyclones. 0forecast accuracy which two became hurricanes, both as they are saying this been researching storm development for long enough now to have honed their No hurricanes made landfall in the United States. year, to expect an active season, then we had better say, as they are storm this 0forecast accuracy to remarkable precision. When they expect an active sayingseason. The biggest season, then however, of expect an active storm season. Quite a whirlwind concern for most people, by course, is for a hurricane making year, to expect an active was created, we had bettersome rather narrow-focused critics. Forecasters direct hit is actuallypeople,rare.of hot is for "falling flat" out that landfall. Taking a were accused of being "fullcourse, air," a hurricane making The biggest concern for most rather of AccuWeather.com points on predictions andtaken the isbetter a hurricane since 2005. But thatʼs no reason to shrug Florida hasnʼt direct hit brunt of than zoo monkeys randomly tapping out that landfall. Taking a doing no actually rather rare. AccuWeather.com points numbers on a the forecasts. the took a beating for "hyping" the early season predictions, off page. The media ask the residents of New 2005. who hadnʼt reason to shrug Florida hasnʼt taken Just brunt of a hurricane since JerseyBut thatʼs noseen a hurricane in and then ignoring their own also reminded us that a storm quietly ended. Anyone hype as the Atlantic season doesnʼt have to be major offyears … until Sandy. Sandyresidents of New Jersey who hadnʼt seen a hurricane in the forecasts. Just ask the suggesting a connection between global warming residents are not was flat and severe storms only ones to be until Sandy. Sandy also reminded us coastal years …deadly and highly destructive and that that a storm doesnʼt have thebe major to out called a liar. to who need to be prepared. be deadly and highly destructive and that coastal residents are not the only ones need to be next time a storm hit we for the mitigation and protection The prepared. who This thinking only makes it harderwill not be able say, "We didnʼt know … ", or industry.The professionals constantlywill notresidents to be prepared, and they Its next time a storm "We didnʼt expect this …". hit we urge be able say, "We didnʼt know … ", or use meteorological forecasts to remind everyone to take precautions. We REMINDER: For "We didnʼt expect this …". all persons and companies involved in hurricane preparadidn't and mitigation, StormEXPO 2013 is scheduledbuilding codes 26 and 27 in Fort that tion have any hurricanes this year, but we have involved in hurricaneare REMINDER: For all persons and companies for September prepararegularly reviewed and revised to lead us to building strong, we have tested Lauderdale, FL (see page 13). Scheduled are seminars on changes to 27 in Fort tion and mitigation, StormEXPO 2013 is scheduled for September 26 andbuilding and approved products to protect openings from garage doors to windows, codes; mitigation page 13). Scheduled are seminars on changes suppliers; Lauderdale, FL (seeopportunities for contractors, manufacturers andto building and we have the knowledge to engineer better systems for anchoring homes and health care survival for businesses and more. Online registration is available at codes; mitigation opportunities for contractors, manufacturers and suppliers; and designing foundations prepared for storm surge and flooding. And we have www.stormsecuritymag.com and a special Online registration is available at offered by the B health care survival for businesses and more.room rate is the destruction Ocean Hotel. seasonal forecasts that anticipate and remind us that that See you www.stormsecuritymag.com and a specialBritainrate is offered by the B here. Isn't happened there! Philippines and Great room sometimes happens Ocean Hotel. in the See you there! be relieved after a quieter it far better to season then expected than to be devastated by the loss of home and Howard Shingle loved ones? Editorial Director Howard Shingle Editorial Director Howard Shingle Kerri Caldwell Editorial Director Publisher Kerri Caldwell Storm Kerri Caldwell Publisher& Security Protection Storm & Security Protection Publisher, Storm & Security Protection 4 4 4 STORM && SECURITY PROTECTION / / FORECAST 2013 STORM SECURITY PROTECTION IBS PREVIEW 2014 STORM & SECURITY PROTECTION / FORECAST 2013 STORM& SECURITY STORM& SECURITY STORM&SECURITY FORECAST 2013 P P P R R R O O O T T T E E E C C C T T T I I I Vol. IV No. 2 FORECAST 2013 Vol. IV No. 2 O N O N O N IBS PREVIEW 2014 Web site: Vol. IV, No. 4 stormsecuritymag.com Web site: stormsecuritymag.com Web site: Publisher stormsecuritymag.com National Sales: Publisher Kerri Caldwell National Sales: Publisher (773) 775-9293 Kerri Caldwell National Sales: kcaldwell@kasnicmedia.com (773) 775-9293 Kerri Caldwell kcaldwell@kasnicmedia.com (773) 775-9293 Editorial Director kcaldwell@kasnicmedia.com Howard Shingle Editorial Director hshingle@kasnicmedia.com Editorial Director: Howard Shingle Howard Shingle hshingle@kasnicmedia.com hshingle@kasnicmedia.com Office Manager Jenny Rieman Office Manager Office Manager: jrieman@kasnicmedia.com Jenny Rieman Jenny Rieman jrieman@kasnicmedia.com jrieman@kasnicmedia.com Design & Production: DesignLynda Cassidy Design & Production: & Production: (480) 276-3991 Lynda Licastro Lynda Cassidy lcassidy@kasnicmedia.com (480) 276-3991 licastro@kasnicmedia.com lcassidy@kasnicmedia.com Editorial Contributors: Editorial Contributors: Don Leggett Don Leggett Editorial Contributors: George Rosado Don Leggett George Rosado kasnicmedia, LLC kasnicmedia, LLC KasNic Media, LLC 6430 North Central Avenue KasNic Media, LLC KasNic Media, LLC 6430 NorthSuite 206 Central Avenue 6430Chicago, Avenue, Ste. 206 N. Central Illinois 60646 Suite 206 (773) 775-9293 Chicago, Illinois 60646 Chicago, Illinois 60646 (773) 775-9293 (773) 775-9293 The views and comments expressed by contributors do not necessarily represent those of the The views and Advertisers expressed by contribThepublisher. comments assume complete liability views and comments expressed by contributors for allnotnecessarily represent those of the do not necessarily represent those of utors do content of advertisements including text, publisher. Advertisers assume complete liability publisher. Advertisers assume complete liability representation and illustrations. for all content of advertisements including text, for all content of advertisements including text, representation and illustrations. representation and illustrations.

• Cover