Storm & Security

2012 Directory

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2011/SEASON REVIEW 2011 ATLANTIC BASIN TROPICAL CYCLONES TYPE NAME TS TS TS Cindy TS Don TS TS Emily TS Gert Irene Jose TD Ten TS Arlene Bret Franklin TS Harvey H3 H4 Katia Lee TS Unnamed TS H1 Maria H1 Nate H3 Rina TS H4 Ophelia H1 Philippe Sean DATES 28 June – 1 July 17 – 22 July 20 – 22 July 27 – 30 July 2 – 7 August 12 – 13 August 13 – 16 August 19 – 22 August 21 – 28 August 25 – 26 August 27 – 28 August MAX WIND (MPH) 29 August – 10 Sept. 1-2 Sept. 2 – 5 Sept. 6 – 16 Sept. 7 – 11 Sept. 20 Sept. – 3 Oct. 24 Sept. – 8 Oct. 23 - 28 Oct. 8-11 Nov. 120 35 45 65 70 70 50 50 45 65 65 140 45 60 80 75 continued and the addition of a short-lived, unnamed tropical storm that formed in early September between Bermuda and Nova Scotia. This unnamed storm, along with several other weak, short-lived named storms, could have gone undetected without modern satellite technology. Forecasts Improving Hurricane Irene is an example of increasing accuracy in fore- 140 90 115 65 Source: NOAA's National Weather Service, National Hurricane Center casting storm track. Its landfall in eastern North Carolina and path northward were accurately predicted more than four days in ad- vance by NOAA's National Hurricane Center using information from weather satellites, hurricane models, aircraft observations, and other data. NOAA's delivery of critical environmental forecasts provided essential advance information that allowed emergency officials to plan necessary evacuations and sparked individuals to take safety precautions. But a weaker-than-anticipated Irene at landfall also highlighted the challenges that remain in forecasting storm intensity. "Improving intensity forecasts is a focus of ongoing research and is part of NOAA's Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project (HFIP)," says Frank Marks, director of NOAA's Hurricane Research Division. HFIP bridges research and operational components to better anticipate rapid changes in storm intensity and its goal to extend track forecasts from the current five days to seven days. 14 STORM&SeCuRITy PROTeCTION / 2012 DIRECTORY & RESOURCE GUIDE

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