Storm & Security

FORECAST 2014

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For the 2014 Atlantic hurricane season, the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will issue Potential Storm Surge Flooding Maps for areas along the Gulf and Atlantic coasts that are at risk of storm surge from a hurricane. The experimental maps will show geographical areas where inundation from storm surge could occur and how high above ground the water could reach in those areas. The map will represent a "reasonable worst-case scenario" for any given location, according to NHC, and will be subject to change every six hours. The maps will be experimental for at least two years, during which time comments from users will be solicited and gathered. NOAA reminds those in coastal areas of the difference between storm surge and storm tide. Storm Tide is the total observed seawater level during a storm, resulting from the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide. Astronomical tides are caused by the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon and have their greatest effects on seawater level during new and full moons. The highest storm tides are often observed during storms that coincide with a new or full moon. Storm Surge is the abnormal rise in seawater level during a storm, measured as the height of the water above the normal astronomical tide. The surge is caused primarily by a storm's winds pushing water onshore. A sample of NHC's potential storm surge map for Hurricane X off the coast of Tampa Bay, FL. FORECAST 2014 / STORM & SECURITY PROTECTION 13 NEW Storm Surge MAPS The amplitude of the storm surge at any given location depends on the orientation of the coastline with the storm track and the intensity, size, and speed of the storm.

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